Leicester can move to the brink of the Premier League title this weekend if they win and Tottenham lose – and the Foxes could have the perfect opponents in Swansea.

Here’s what the numbers tell us about that and the rest of the weekend’s fixtures.

Leicester vs Swansea

This match pits the division’s most clinical finishers against one of its most wasteful. Leicester have netted once for every 7.5 shots they’ve taken in the Premier League this season, which is the best in the division and far more efficient than visitors Swansea’s 11.7, which is the third worst. One of the reasons for Leicester’s efficiency – Jamie Vardy – is suspended though and that could hamper Leicester’s title charge.

Tottenham vs West Brom

One-way traffic looks likely here with Tottenham having taken more shots than any other home side this season – an average of 19.5 per match –while West Brom have been the quietest away attackers. Travelling Baggies fans – who face their second visit to north London in four days after Thursday night’s 2-0 loss to Arsenal – have only had an average of 8.1 efforts to cheer.

Liverpool vs Newcastle

A win for Newcastle could be enough to move them out of the bottom three this weekend, although, with the Magpies having lost their last nine away matches and Liverpool in fine form, it doesn’t look likely. Only Tottenham have taken more shots than the Reds’ average of16.7 per match this season, while the 15 allowed by their visitors is the second highest in the division. Newcastle have looked more solid under Rafael Benitez, but he is still likely to need a slice of luck if he’s to enjoy his return to Anfield.

Sunderland vs Arsenal

Arsenal have looked a lot sharper on their travels than at home this season, needing an average of 2.5 shots on target to find the net in away games –the second best return in the top flight – compared with 4.0 at the Emirates. They will surely get plenty of opportunities to burnish their clinical return on the road at the Stadium of Light, where home advantage doesn’t appear to be a familiar concept. Sunderland have allowed their opponents more shots on target than any other home side this season, with the average visitor having forced Vito Mannone into action 5.1 times per match.

Manchester City vs Stoke

Stoke haven’t kept a Premier League clean sheet in eight attempts and their permissive defence looks ill-equipped to keep hosts Manchester City quiet here. Only two top flight clubs have allowed more shots on target away from home than the Potters’ average of 5.2 per game, while only Tottenham have fired in more efforts on target per home match than City’s 6.2. Mark Hughes also needs to come up with a plan for dealing with their hosts’ goal scoring midfielders: nobody has scored more goals from outside the box than the home side’s 13, while the 12 conceded from this distance by the Potters is also the highest in the division.

Aston Villa vs Southampton

Will Aston Villa play like they have “a weight off the shoulders” now their relegation is confirmed, as Joleon Lescott suggested last week? Villa have lost all of their last nine matches and have scored just three goals in that run, which doesn’t bode well for their chances against a Southampton side still chasing European football. However the Saints have been almost as wasteful on the road as their hosts have been in front of their own fans, with only Newcastle having taken more shots for each away goal scored this season.

Bournemouth vs Chelsea

Bournemouth have been frustratingly leaky at the back this season and could receive an unwelcome lesson in defending from their weekend visitors. It’s been eight away matches since Chelsea last conceded more than once, with five of those seeing them keep a clean sheet. By comparison, the Cherries’ back line has been among the most porous in the division and has looked particularly vulnerable at Dean Court, giving the away side an opportunity to grind out a victory.